Over the past
few weeks, I have been asked to share my thoughts on some serious issues:
- The impact of political upheaval
in North Africa and the Middle East on
fuel prices and global supply chains; and
- The impact of the Japanese
earthquake and tsunami on the global economy and supply chains.
An
important note here – I have no particular insight into the political happenings
in North Africa or the Middle East. And except
for my natural heartfelt concern for the people of Japan, I have no qualifications or
expertise on natural disasters and their terrible aftermath.
However, I
do have a few decades of supply chain expertise, and so I have been presenting
my informed views in this area. To bring you up to speed, what I have been
saying is that uncertainty is certain, expect the unexpected, and be sure that
you have contingency and mitigation plans in place to cover supply chain risks.
Our hearts go out to those in Japan dealing with the earthquake’s aftermath and those around the world facing uncertain times. Global supply chains – vital to getting supplies to victims and to keeping their economies growing – are also experiencing uncertainty. It would have been impossible to fully predict the events in North Africa and the Middle East or with the Japanese earthquake. But I did recently predict that “uncertainty
is certain” and guess what? It is.
Over the
next few months, other events are bound to develop that will continue to inject
high levels of uncertainty into supply chains. Please, do not wait for such
events to catch you off guard and leave you scrambling to try and minimize
damage to your business. Now, go ahead and evaluate your company’s risks,
anticipate the unexpected, and analyze the uncertainties that exist in your
supply chain.
Whether it
is fuel prices, disaster recovery, commodity prices, transportation capacity,
port availability, labor availability, or another factor, get out ahead of the
“unexpected” implications.
Supply
chain disruptions are simply a part of the realities of today’s global supply
chains. It is how you prepare for and lead through this uncertainty that will seal
your company’s fate.
More Resources
Supply
Chain Consortium Report on Uncertainty
Is Your Company Prepared for Anything? Supply Chain Disruption Calls for Careful Risk Management
The Supply
Chain is a Scary Place,
World Trade Magazine
Photo Credit: DerekGavey